Over $343bn to be lost to online payment fraud over next five years

Cumulative merchant losses to online payment fraud globally between 2023 and 2027 will likely exceed a giangtuan $343bn.

So says a new study from Juniper Research.

The staggering fiugure equates to over 350% of Apple’s reported net income in the 2021 fiscal year.

Online payment fraud includes losses across the sales of digital goods, physical goods, money transfer transactions and banking. Fraudster attacks can include phishing, business email compromise and socially engineered fraud. 

The key driver is fraudster innovation in areas such as account takeover fraud, where a user’s account is hijacked. This is despite the wide employment of identity verification measures. 

The research identified physical goods purchases as the largest single source of losses. This will account for 49% of cumulative online payment fraud losses globally over the next five years, growing by 110%. Lax address verification processes in developing markets are a major fraud risk, with fraudsters targeting physical goods specifically, due to their resell potential. The report recommends merchants adopt strong anti-fraud measures, including multiple sources of address verification and multi-factor authentication to reduce fraudulent incidents for physical goods merchants. 

Report author Nick Maynard said: “Fundamentally, no two online transactions are the same, so the way transactions are secured cannot follow a one-size-fits-all solution. Payment fraud detection and prevention vendors must build a multitude of verification capabilities, and intelligently orchestrate different solutions depending on circumstances, in order to correctly protect both merchants and user